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Scottish Conservatives Win Historic Aberdeen South By-Election, Sends Strong Message to Labour and SNP

The Scottish Conservatives secured their first by-election win since 1973 in Aberdeen South, with Douglas Lumsden defeating the SNP's Richard Thomson by over 6,000 votes. The SNP retained Arbroath and Broughty Ferry. The results highlight tensions over oil and gas policies and energy security.

·5 min read
PA Media Kemi Badenoch

Historic By-Election Victory for Scottish Conservatives

Kemi Badenoch has declared that the Scottish Conservatives' first by-election win since 1973 sends a significant message to both Labour and the Scottish National Party (SNP).

The Aberdeen South seat, previously held by the SNP's Stephen Flynn, was secured by Conservative MSP Douglas Lumsden in the recent by-election.

 Celebrating Scottish Conservatives at the count in Aberdeen South
Douglas Lumsden (centre) is to resign from Holyrood as he takes up a seat at Westminster

Shortly after, the SNP claimed victory in the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election, where Lara Bird successfully retained the seat for the party.

Dual Mandate and Resignation Plans

Lumsden, who is subject to Holyrood's ban on dual mandates and thus cannot serve simultaneously in both parliaments, plans to resign from the Scottish Parliament just six weeks after his re-election as a North East MSP.

Reactions from Party Leaders

Badenoch addressed enthusiastic party supporters, stating:

"I cannot tell you how thrilled I am to be able to welcome Douglas Lumsden to parliament."

She was accompanied on stage by Lumsden and Scottish Conservative leader Russell Findlay, expressing gratitude to voters for their trust in the party. Badenoch also commended the positive nature of Lumsden's campaign and emphasized the national importance of the result.

Badenoch noted that media attention had been focused on the Makerfield by-election, where Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham secured 55% of the vote and is anticipated to challenge Sir Keir Starmer's leadership of Labour.

"The Makerfield by-election was about one man's job.
The Aberdeen South by-election was about thousands of jobs all over the country but especially in the oil and gas sector."
"Aberdeen has sent a message to the Labour government and the SNP that we will not be ignored.
Aberdeen will not be ignored. The sector will not be ignored."

Badenoch further emphasized the growing importance of national and energy security for the country.

Scottish Conservative Leader Comments

Russell Findlay described the outcome as a "sensational victory," adding:

"This was a referendum on oil and gas."

Background on By-Elections

The Scottish by-elections were triggered by the resignations of sitting MPs Stephen Flynn and Stephen Gethins, both SNP members, from the House of Commons after their election to the Scottish Parliament.

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Aberdeen is central to discussions about the UK's energy future, with the UK government selecting the city as the headquarters for GB Energy, its newly established publicly-owned energy company.

Douglas Lumsden's Statement and Election Results

Lumsden, a former oil and gas industry worker, stated that his constituents had delivered a clear message:

"The destruction of the oil and gas industry must stop now."

He defeated SNP candidate Richard Thomson, a former MP for Gordon, by a margin exceeding 6,000 votes. The Conservatives secured nearly half of all ballots cast.

Bar chart showing votes by party and candidate in the Aberdeen South by-election. Conservative candidate Douglas Lumsden 14,308 votes; SNP candidate Richard Thomson 8,258 votes; Reform UK candidate Jo Hart 2,478 votes; Labour candidate Nurul Hoque Ali 1,550 votes; Lib Dem candidate Mel Sullivan 1,270 votes; Scottish Green candidate Jorg Shelton-Eckstein 974 votes

Environmental Perspective

Amy Cameron from Greenpeace UK criticized the Conservative promises as "false," arguing they would not ensure a prosperous economic future for Aberdeen residents.

"A just transition has to be strong enough for people to 'let go of the industry that built their community' and 'trust that the new economy will be ready to catch them'."

Arbroath and Broughty Ferry By-Election

In Arbroath and Broughty Ferry, Lara Bird retained the seat for the SNP with a majority exceeding 5,000 votes over the Conservative candidate.

 A group of people in business attired cheer with their fists raised.
Lara Bird, centre, won Arbroath and Broughty Ferry for the SNP

Bird, originally from near Kirriemuir, is a qualified lawyer who has served as an SNP researcher and adviser at Westminster.

"Voters had rejected the politics of division and hate and made it clear that Scotland's future lies with independence."

Labour fell from second to fourth place in this constituency, with Reform UK placing third.

Bar chart showing votes by party and candidate in the Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election. SNP candidate Lara Bird 9,802 votes; Conservative candidate Jack Cruickshanks 4,524 votes; Reform UK candidate Bill Reid 4,341 votes; Labour candidate Heather Doran 3,651 votes; Lib Dem candidate Tanvir Ahmad 1,452 votes

Stephen Flynn's Response

Stephen Flynn, now Scotland's economy secretary, commented on social media regarding the loss of his former seat:

"A tough night in Aberdeen that some will need to reflect on, quite heavily."
"We lost Aberdeen South to the Tories in 2017, and we won it back two years later.
I've no doubt that we can do so again. If we get things right."

Next Steps for Douglas Lumsden and the Scottish Parliament

Under Holyrood's dual mandate ban, Lumsden has 49 days to resign as an MSP. His seat in the Scottish Parliament will be filled by the next candidate on the Conservatives' North East Scotland list, Fraserburgh councillor James Adams.

Historical Context of Conservative By-Election Wins

The Conservatives last won a Westminster by-election north of the border in 1973, holding Edinburgh North. They had not gained a seat in a Westminster by-election since 1967, when they took Glasgow Pollok from Labour.

Recent SNP Challenges

The Aberdeen South defeat follows the SNP's comfortable victory in the recent Scottish election six weeks prior. However, the party has since faced a scandal involving former chief executive Peter Murrell, who admitted in court to embezzling over £400,000 of SNP funds over a 12-year period. Murrell is scheduled for sentencing next week.

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This article was sourced from bbc

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