Skip to main content
Advertisement

What a Burnham-led government could mean for your money

Andy Burnham is set to announce early cost-of-living policies as prime minister, with questions over taxes, energy bills, transport, housing and social care.

·6 min read
Two women pay by card for a drink and some food in a pub.

Policies aimed at giving people more "breathing space" on the cost of living will be announced on Tuesday by Andy Burnham, in one of his first acts as prime minister. He has said many people can’t go out for a pint on a Friday, can’t take the kids out, and can’t go on holiday because of pressure on their finances.

The cost of living has dominated people’s lives in recent years and, to some extent, politics too. Burnham’s challenge will be to ease that pressure by supporting energy bills and transport costs, allowing people to earn more before being taxed, and making care and somewhere to live more affordable, while also deciding how to fund those changes and manage the trade-offs.

Haven’t we heard this before?

The Prime Minister said every minute not talking about the cost of living was "a wasted minute". The chancellor said it is the "number one focus".

However, those words were not spoken by the incoming PM and chancellor, but by Sir Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves - and only in January this year.

They cut £150 from a typical annual domestic energy bill in April by removing some levies and moving others onto taxation.

But those bills soon went up again, as did the cost of food and mortgages, owing to the impact of the US-Israeli strikes on Iran. Events can have an instant and extreme impact on the best-laid plans.

"A more volatile world is a more expensive world," says Adam French, of the financial information service Moneyfacts.

Will taxes go down (or up)?

Burnham has hinted at allowing people to earn more before they start paying income tax, shifting the so-called personal allowance.

Under current government policy, income tax and National Insurance thresholds have been frozen until April 2031 in England, Wales and Northern Ireland. That means that as you earn more, a greater proportion of your income is taxed.

That is a major revenue raiser for the government, and partially reversing the policy would mean the money would have to be found from elsewhere, or borrowed. Burnham has also hinted at "asking for a little bit more" in tax from some people.

Follow live: Andy Burnham speaks after being appointed prime minister by King

A very quick guide to Andy Burnham

Chris Mason: Burnham is fifth PM in four years - now he’ll try to buck the trend

He will stick to the Labour manifesto pledge not to raise the main three taxes - income tax, National Insurance and VAT. But since the election, other taxes have already been altered, such as inheritance tax changes affecting family farms, often prompting a vociferous response.

Possible reforms include replacing stamp duty and council tax with an alternative property tax, or introducing higher rates on capital gains tax, which is paid on the profit from selling assets such as property outside a primary home as well as some shares, so that it is brought in line with income tax rates.

Any such reforms would take time and would create winners and losers. When Reeves and Starmer tried to make big changes, even with a big majority, numerous U-turns followed.

Burnham and his chancellor are also expected to stick to the government’s self-imposed fiscal rules, a set of choices on government tax and spending decisions.

Opinion is divided on whether these are sensible building blocks for the economy that allow living standards to improve, or a "dysfunctional" economic straitjacket.

"The [resulting] rummage down the back of the sofa for loose change has hit personal finances hard, changed the tax landscape, and makes it more challenging for people to save for their future," says Rachel Vahey, head of public policy at investment platform AJ Bell.

Can energy and other essentials get cheaper?

Labour’s much-debated general election promise to cut household energy bills by £300 by 2030 remains under close scrutiny.

In Downing Street, Burnham said he would "bring essentials under public control" to make them more affordable.

Advertisement

There have been hints about cutting energy bills, which are still set primarily by the wholesale cost of gas - something largely beyond a government’s control.

One option, championed by charities and the regulator, is the introduction of a social tariff. This would offer discounted bills to the most vulnerable, paid through higher bills or taxes from those who are better off.

Future bills are a concern, but unpaid debt on previous bills is a major problem. The amount of money owed to energy suppliers by customers is at a record high of £4.79bn, up 15% in a year.

"Although average bills have dropped back from their peak, they are still far higher than they were five years ago," says debt charity Citizens Advice.

"But incomes and bill support mechanisms have not kept up. Households are left with mounting energy debts, forced to choose between heating and eating."

Food and other bills, such as water and food, have added to the strain, it says.

A bar chart showing the energy price cap for a typical household on a price-capped, dual-fuel tariff paying by direct debit, from January 2022 to April 2026. The figure was £1,319 based on typical usage in October 2021. This rose to a high of £4,414 in January 2023, although the Energy Price Guarantee limited bills to £2,500 for a typical household between October 2022 and June 2023. Bills dropped to £1,685 in July 2024, before rising slightly to £1,846 in October, £1,869 in January 2025, £1,992 in April 2025, £1,854 in July 2025, £1,892 in October 2025, £1,758 in January 2026, £1,641 in April 2026. The cap in July is £1,663 under the new typical household consumption values.

Are transport fares a priority, like in Manchester?

Much of Burnham’s political capital comes from changes as the mayor of Greater Manchester, particularly to the bus network.

Announcements on bus fares are expected this week, but devolution means he can only really control what happens in England.

The £3 cap on bus fares in England, outside London, is in place until March next year. However, that scheme is voluntary and not all bus companies have signed up.

Rail fares in England were also frozen for the first time in 30 years to the same date by the government.

This applies to season tickets covering most commuter routes, some off-peak return tickets on long-distance journeys and flexible tickets for travel in and around major cities until March 2027.

Red bus being driven along a quiet coastal road with the sun setting behind it.

Will there be help for first-time buyers and housing costs?

Burnham told The Times that without "sufficient homes for people that they can afford, you chase rent through the benefits system in the private rented sector".

That is why he plans to build more council homes, alongside the government’s existing ambitious home-building target, which is already behind schedule.

Of course, simply building homes does not necessarily make them cheaper.

Some lenders are offering first-time buyers the chance of a home loan with a smaller deposit, but the Bank of Mum and Dad remains one of the biggest lenders of all.

Building societies, in particular, are expected to call for less strict rules on how much they can lend and to whom.

Ultimately, the cost of a mortgage may depend on what the markets think of Burnham, and his new chancellor’s plans.

What else does the new PM face?

Burnham faces major decisions about who receives sickness and disability benefits, how much they get, and how to get young people into work. You can about that here.

He has also said he is willing to tackle access to social care - again, a complex and potentially expensive policy that others have tried, and failed, to tackle.

Finally, as with all previous administrations, how a Burnham-led government reacts to events beyond its control may have the biggest impact on the money in people’s pockets.

This article was sourced from bbc

Advertisement

Related News