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Keir Starmer Resigns as Labour Leader: What Happens Next?

Sir Keir Starmer has resigned as Labour leader amid poor poll ratings and internal pressures. Andy Burnham is poised to succeed him, with a leadership contest unlikely and no immediate general election required.

·5 min read
Sir Keir Starmer pictured speaking in Downing Street.

Sir Keir Starmer Resigns as Labour Leader

Sir Keir Starmer has announced his resignation as Labour leader, marking the conclusion of his tenure at 10 Downing Street. He has stated that he will remain as UK prime minister until a successor is appointed.

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Why Did Starmer Resign?

Pressure on the Labour leader had been mounting for some time, driven by poor polling numbers and a series of damaging disclosures related to his decision to appoint Peter Mandelson as the UK ambassador to the United States last year.

The elections held in May for the Welsh and Scottish parliaments, as well as local councils in parts of England, had been viewed by many Labour MPs as a critical opportunity for Starmer to demonstrate his ability to reverse the party's fortunes.

Ultimately, the election outcomes were devastating for Labour, leading to the resignation of Wes Streeting as health secretary and several more junior ministers stepping down.

An ally of Andy Burnham resigned as MP for Makerfield, paving the way for the former Greater Manchester mayor to pursue his ambition of returning to Westminster and contesting the Labour leadership.

Previously, Sir Keir had blocked Burnham from standing in a by-election in February. However, following widespread demands from Labour MPs for Starmer's resignation after the election results, he lacked the authority to prevent Burnham's candidacy this time.

Starmer's position weakened further amid a longstanding internal dispute over defence spending, which culminated in Labour veteran John Healey resigning as defence secretary earlier in July.

Burnham's decisive victory in Makerfield last week, where he increased Labour's majority over Reform UK, enhanced his appeal among many MPs.

Initially, Sir Keir insisted he would contest any leadership challenge, despite private urging from several cabinet ministers to step down.

After considering the situation over the weekend, he concluded that he did not have sufficient support among Labour MPs to mount a viable leadership bid.

"I have concluded I do not have enough support among Labour MPs to make such a move viable."

When Might a New Leader Be Selected?

An official timetable for the leadership election has not yet been announced. However, in his resignation speech, Sir Keir indicated that candidates seeking to replace him would have between 9 and 16 July to secure the necessary nominations.

According to the party's rulebook, candidates must be nominated by at least 81 Labour MPs, as well as either 32 of Labour's 634 local branches or three affiliated organisations, including two trade unions.

If more than one candidate meets these thresholds, a vote among party members and affiliated trade union supporters would determine the winner before Parliament returns from its summer recess on 1 September.

There are early indications that a contested election may not be necessary.

Andy Burnham has confirmed his intention to stand and is widely believed to have sufficient support among Labour MPs to secure a place on the ballot.

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No other Labour MP has yet declared their candidacy, while potential rival Wes Streeting ruled himself out and endorsed Burnham shortly after Sir Keir's resignation.

Does This Mean a Coronation?

If Burnham is nominated without opposition, he would automatically become Labour leader without a contest.

This scenario raises the possibility that Burnham could enter Downing Street as early as mid-July, less than a month after taking his seat in Parliament.

Such a swift transition has prompted some Labour MPs to call on Burnham, who has been outside Westminster for nearly a decade, to provide more details about his plans for office.

Questions have also arisen regarding how Sir Keir intends to ensure an "orderly handover of power."

The outgoing prime minister is scheduled to attend a NATO leaders' summit on 7 July, by which time he had promised to reveal the military spending plan that led to Healey's resignation as defence secretary.

It remains uncertain whether this plan will proceed, as the funding was expected to come from reallocation within government department budgets.

Following Sir Keir's resignation announcement, a planned UK-EU summit on 22 July, which he was to attend, has been postponed.

Will There Be a General Election?

The winner of the Labour leadership election would automatically assume the role of prime minister without the need for a general election.

This is because the prime minister's authority derives from commanding the confidence of the House of Commons, where Labour holds a substantial majority.

The party's leadership rules are designed to ensure that leaders have a mandate from party members, affiliated trade unions, and MPs.

However, Labour has never conducted a full leadership contest under these rules while in government, which would introduce uncertainty and disruption.

Unlike Sir Keir, who entered office after contesting the 2024 election with a detailed 136-page manifesto, Burnham has only offered limited insights into his potential policies during the Makerfield campaign.

Calls have already emerged, including from Reform UK, urging Burnham to call a snap general election if he becomes leader.

Nonetheless, there is no obligation for him to do so; the next UK general election is not legally required until 2029.

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This article was sourced from bbc

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